Lecture: Wilkinson 132 MW 1:25 - 2:40 PM
Prof. Henry Pfister
Dr. Pfister Office Hour: T 3-4pm and TH 9:30-10:30am
Prerequisite(s): Graduate standing or UG probability (STA 130L/240L or Math 230/340 or ECE 380/555 or EGR 238L)
Syllabus (updated 11/11/25)
Primary Textbooks
Probability and Stochastic Processes (PSP) by Yates and Goodman, 3rd Ed.
Use the O'Reilly mobile app with Duke SSO to download e-book
Fundamentals of Applied Probability and Random Processes (FAP) by Ibe, 2nd Ed.
Other Textbooks and References
Undergraduate Probability I (UPI) by Chamberland (toc ch1 ch2 ch3 ch4 ch5 ch6 ch7 ch8 ch9 ch10 ch11 ch12)
Probability, Random Processes, and Statistical Analysis (PRPSA) by Kobayashi and Turin
First Course in Probability (7th) by S. Ross
Schaum's Outline of Probability, Random Variables, and Random Processes by Hwei Hsu
Lecture 1 - Introduction
Lecture 2 - Sequential Experiments
Lecture 3 - Discrete Random Variables
Lecture 4 - Continuous Random Variables
Lectures 5-7 - Multiple Random Variables
Lecture 8
Geometric sums and the variance of a geometric random variable
The cdf of a Poisson and the incomplete gamma function
Functions of random variables
Inner product spaces of random variables
Convergence for Sequences of Random Variables
Finite-State Markov Chains
Descriptive and Inferential Statistics
Gaussian processes
Random Processes
Cognitive Strategies for Learning Probability
In Class Problems 1
Homework 1
In Class Problems 2
Homework 2
In Class Problems 3
Homework 3 (soln)
In Class Problems 4
Homework 4
In Class Problems 5
Homework 5
Computer exercise for functions of random variables
Homework 6
Computer exercise for least squares estimation
Homework 7
Computer exercise for Markov chains
Detailed introduction to spectral theory of Markov chains
Wikipedia
History of Probability, Interpretations, Probability Space
Random Variable, Binomial Distribution, Normal Distribution
Bayes’ Theorem, Maximum Likelihood Estimation
Stochastic Process, Markov Chain, Gaussian Process
Historical Figures
Famous Figures in Probability and Statistics